Post Market Stock Market: May Enter The "Down" Mode

Friday, on the last day of April and the last trading day in April, the market all day to maintain a shock pattern, and the measure can continue to shrink for many days, yesterday, the measurement can be less than 4 thousand trillion, only about three hundred and sixty billion, and the disk is still not a main focus of the main line, market exchange is very cold.

As we have predicted before, investors lack confidence, the market wait-and-see sentiment is strong, the pre holiday market is difficult to do.

April has come to a close. After many days of sideways finishing, we believe that the market's choice of short-term direction after the festival is a big probability event.

Will the market choose to go up or down?

In the face of news, the signals pmitted are more complicated.

On the one hand, the economic data will be better for the short term, and the Shenzhen Hong Kong Tong will be announced soon. The social security fund regulations will come into effect in May 1st.

However, at present, the good intentions that we have foreseen have been repeatedly mentioned in the near future, and it is somewhat unrealistic to expect them to exceed expectations.

On the other hand, there are some new developments, such as the fear of default in the bond market, the ups and downs of the futures market, and the strengthening of regulation by P2P.

These will undoubtedly increase the market.

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From a technical perspective, the weakening of the market has been quite obvious after the main index has been wearing up the trend line.

At present, whether it is Shanghai stock index or

The index has been under the short-term average.

Although there seems to be some support in the vicinity of the 60 day moving average, it is probably not easy to expect the market to expand space in the light of the current volume of about four hundred billion of the two cities.

Moreover, from the perspective of big structure, the adjustment of stock index since 5178 points has shown a trend of gradual decrease in volume and level, and obvious signs of bear market rebound in the market.

Although the probability of the bottom of the policy near the 3000 point is large, no one can tell clearly where the market is.

However, from the 2638 wedge of Shanghai stock index, the market has another time.

Or big probability.

In fact, in the consolidation of many consecutive days before the holiday, there has been signs of a fall. Although the focus of the market seems to have not dropped much, the 60 day average line support still exists, but the market is rather tasteless and boring.

Of course, the market as a whole is boring, but some stocks are still bright.

For example, we mentioned the price increase theme stocks and small market value "shell" companies on the previous two days.

However, at a time of difficulty, the difficulty of the operation of stocks will increase. Investors should do something wrong, advance quickly and quickly, strictly stop losses and stop profits.

Although the market may still have a bottom line, there are adjustments.

However, we also believe that even if there is adjustment, the probability of a stock market crash is 4.

The latter adjustment is more likely to be a shrink and fall mode.

The decline of the market is similar to that of the table tennis ball dropped at high position. The kinetic energy is becoming weaker and weaker, and it keeps moving towards the convergent form. Logically speaking, it is a big probability. The rebound since the 5178 point is weaker than one wave.

In addition, at present, the proportion of the national team is relatively high. According to the calculation of the relevant institutions, the national team's shareholding accounts for roughly 14% of the A shares.

Such a high shareholding ratio will still have to look at the wishes of the national team.