Zhang Jiawei: European Bank Interest Rate Resolution Led Us Dollar To Move Passively To Uncertainty

Yesterday, when Europe entered daylight saving time, all economic activities in Europe were also one hour ahead of the winter time. P

The ECB resolution will be announced on Thursday at 19:45 and will be held at 20:30 PM.

Recently, foreign media released the survey showed that 70 of the 72 analysts interviewed expect the ECB to maintain a refinancing interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in April 3rd. 2 analysts expect the European Central Bank to lower its a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" rate lower than /a.

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< p > the March non farm employment data released by the United States on Friday will be a super week.

Before that, all sectors emphasized that the state of US economic data was significantly improved after the winter ended.

The quality of non-agricultural data in March will also guide whether the US index can exceed 80.20 of the card resistance level.

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In the past week, commodity currencies continued to show signs of "flaunt strength". The US dollar to the Canadian dollar last week hit a low of 1.10 a month.

The state of the day's attention is Canada's GDP data.

Last Friday, many agencies issued a pessimistic view of the Canadian economic outlook, making the dollar exchange rate rebounding, and Canada's subsequent data will recognize or refute such views.

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< p > < strong > < a > href= > //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp > USD > /a > index > /strong > /p >

Last week, the P index maintained a strong trend. However, there was no new high last week. The overall performance showed a trend of adjustment. In the form, the Japanese line went out of the relay mode of triangle finishing, and the traditional theory analysis of this form showed more guidance for the future market.

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< p > as mentioned above, this week's US fingers are faced with the passive influence of the ECB interest rate resolution and the direct influence of non-agricultural. The two uncertainties make the index still lingering below 80.20, while the lower 79.90 becomes the strong supporting belt at present.

It is decided that the US dollar data in the middle term of the US dollar will continue to improve, and the occupation above 80.50 will become the trend signal of the bull market, and the loss of 79.75 will make the US dollar lose its color again.

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< p > strategy, we still take a low follow up, reference price 80.10 near, target 80.40 < /p >

< p > < strong > US crude oil < /strong > /p >

Last week, we carried out a medium and long-term interpretation of crude oil. In the adjustment trend since the fall of oil prices in March 3rd, the rebound of B wave is still in progress, but on Friday, the rally has slowed down, and it has been on a downward trend in the vicinity of 102.20.

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< p > Chart on the 4H short line is still showing a high tempo of shock, the top 102.70 break position can relieve the pressure of adjustment.

So the strategy is still dominated by low operation.

Below the short line support, see 100.90 and 100.50. strategy activists can support the first support near 100.90, while the soundness will do more in the 100.50 area.

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< p > < strong > < a > href= > //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp > > International Gold > /a > /strong > /p >

P > international gold continued to decline last week, and it was a good step on Friday to show the support underlined by the low cross.

The price of gold rose to 50% on the 1392 front-line and the lowest price was 1285.5.

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< p > observe the weekly line, the MACD value is reduced obviously, the gold price in the medium term trend is still unchanged, the negative column on the daily line is slightly weakened, while the MACD on 4H is shifted from the negative column to the positive column, and the comprehensive analysis shows that the gold price is on the short line or rebound trend, while the upper pressure is 1305-1312-1315, and the support is 1292-1286. < /p >

< p > strategy gold, traded in 1292-1312 intervals.

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