China Is Striving For Internal And External Needs To Fly &Nbsp This Year.
China will strive for both domestic and external needs this year, and the Ministry of Commerce has decided to expand it. consumption Domestic demand and stable growth of foreign trade are dual tasks, which are crucial to achieving the goal of "keeping steady and advancing" in economic work.
However, for relatively stable domestic market By the world Economics The slowing down of the recovery and the uncertainty brought by the international turmoil will make China's foreign trade face greater challenges.
"The foreign trade situation in 2011 is not bad, but the 12 year is relatively strict, and the surplus is expected to continue to decrease." (Commerce) department's expectations for trade growth this year are not high enough. "Li Yushi, vice president of the Ministry of Commerce of China, said.
In the face of uncertain international and domestic markets, the Ministry of Commerce of China made clear the focus of this year's work on Thursday, focusing on promoting domestic trade to expand consumption and stabilize the market, and strive to maintain stable export growth and stable export tax rebate policy.
According to the Ministry of Commerce, the trade surplus is expected to shrink to around us $160 billion in 2011. According to Reuters, the trade surplus in December 2011 was about $21 billion 600 million, the highest in five months.
The Ministry of commerce also pointed out that efforts should be made to maintain steady export growth this year, maintain the stability and continuity of foreign trade policies, and study new measures to consolidate and expand international market share.
In terms of imports, we should expand import channels, increase imports of energy raw materials, advanced technology and equipment, key components and consumer goods, and continue to urge the US and Europe to relax control over China's export of high-tech products.
* * pushing domestic demand and expanding consumption * *
Obviously, in the context of China's emphasis on economic restructuring, it is undoubtedly a long-term goal to expand domestic market and expand domestic demand.
Zhang Ping, director of the national development and Reform Commission, said at the end of last year when he made a report to the NPC, the contribution rate of domestic demand to economic growth reached 101% in the first three quarters of the year. The contribution rate of final consumption increased from 32.7% in the same period last year to 47.9%, and the capital formation decreased from 55.5% to 53.4%.
The Ministry of Commerce has made it clear that this year we should focus on expanding the consumption of urban and rural residents and improving policies to promote household consumption. Summing up the experience of household appliances going to the countryside and replacing old ones with new ones, we should promptly study and formulate alternative replacement policies, and study the consumption support policies for energy saving and environmental protection products.
In improving and improving the consumption environment, the Ministry of Commerce has also proposed building a modern circulation system in urban and rural areas, and facilitating logistics, networking, retail and services.
However, insiders pointed out that, with the slowdown of economic growth, limited growth of residents' income, imperfect consumption environment, and high inflation in China and multiple factors such as the establishment of social security system, all these factors restrict China's need to expand domestic demand and stimulate consumption to stimulate economic growth.
The Ministry of Commerce predicts that consumption of urban and rural residents in China is expected to reach 18 trillion yuan last year, an increase of about 17%.. According to Statistics Bureau, China's total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 17% in the 1-11 months of last year, compared with an increase of 18.4% in 2010.
According to the median forecast of 22 institutions in Reuters, China's domestic inflation will fall from 4.2% in November to 4% in December, while the GDP in the fourth quarter of 2011 will also slow down to 8.7%, before 9.1% in the third quarter.
* stable export difficulty or greater * * *
Under the premise of limited domestic demand expansion space, China's steady export task this year may be even more arduous than expected.
Miss Huang, who is engaged in foreign trade in Shenzhen, Guangdong, is a business director of Italy's China foreign trade company. At the beginning of the new year, she learned that suppliers were walking on the road when they were carrying money.
"We just paid the other party $80 thousand, and later realized that the other side owed a usury and couldn't return it to the new year. As far as I know, the factory owner at my side has already started a lot of things." she said helplessly on the phone, "our money is not coming back, the key is that the goods are gone." "
Compared with previous Wenzhou private enterprises running away due to the chain breaking of capital, the situation in some parts of Guangdong, China's foreign trade province, may be just an example, but it is not difficult to see that China's foreign trade is facing a severe situation this year.
As premier Wen Jiabao said in his recent visit to Hunan, "we are in a state of economic downward pressure and high price coexistence. From the national level, the first quarter may be more difficult. The cold market is the core of the current problem. "
The Ministry of Commerce said that the export tax rebate policy will remain stable this year, improve the tax rebate mechanism, speed up the tax rebate progress, stabilize the processing trade policy, simplify the management of foreign exchange cancellation, expand the financing channels for foreign trade enterprises, and improve the financial services for SMEs.
"The policy of restricting exports this year is not expected. The biggest worry of enterprises is the uncertainty of market prospects and policies, and the pressure of RMB appreciation. "Li Yushi said.
The RMB of the China foreign exchange trading center broke through the 6.30 pass against the dollar last Friday, closing at 6.2940 yuan, and 4.7% in 2011.
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