2016 What Is The Trend Of Economic Operation? Comparative Analysis Of GDP Indicators In 31 Provinces And Municipalities

The two sessions of the National People's Congress in 2017 have just come to a close.

The government work report released in March 5th has set the target for GDP growth this year to be around 6.5%.

Became a hot topic for delegates during the two sessions.

Measuring the economic development and progress is inseparable from the important index of GDP.

Although its importance in China's political economy is being diluted, it is still an entry point to interpret China's economy.

In 2016, China's eastern, central and western regional economies were accelerating differentiation.

This year, the northeast old traditional industrial area has been turning hard, and there is a deep exploration of the new impetus for nurturing and developing the central resource province, with the industrial pformation and upgrading of the fast developing areas in eastern China and the continuous rise of the rapid development of the West.

After summarizing and summarizing the total GDP volume, GDP growth rate and per capita GDP three indicators of 31 provinces in 2016, we can see who is strong and whose potential is great? What changes have taken place in the 2016 "GDP trillions club" under the pressure of economic downward pressure?

The total amount of GDP released in 31 provinces in 2016 showed different regional patterns.

Guangdong still failed to meet expectations and was once again the top.

This is already

For 28 years in a row, the province has been sitting on top of GDP.

Data show that in 2016, Guangdong's economy was running smoothly, achieving a total GDP of 7 trillion and 951 billion 205 million yuan in the whole year, ranking first in the country.

Jiangsu followed 7 trillion and 608 billion 620 million yuan and Shandong ranked third at 6 trillion and 700 billion 820 million yuan.

It should be said that the three eastern coastal provinces continue to sit on the "6 trillion club".

In contrast, in 2015, there were no changes in the top six ranking of the total economic output, namely, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong, Zhejiang, Henan and Sichuan. However, there were changes in the "4 trillion club", "3 trillion club" expansion and the "2 trillion club" downsizing.

The first time to enter the "4 trillion club" is Henan.

With the Henan GDP reaching 4 trillion magnitude, the membership of the "4 trillion club" has increased to 5.

Among the 3 trillion clubs, there are three provinces in Hubei, Hebei and Hunan. At this point, the number of "3 trillion clubs" has increased to 4.

If there is an increase, there will be a reduction. Correspondingly, the "2 trillion clubs" will be reduced from 8 in 2015 to 5.

The number of "trillions club" members was 25 in 2015.

Look at the top ten provinces in GDP in 2016: Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong, Zhejiang, Henan, Sichuan, Hubei, Hebei, Hunan and Fujian, with three seats in the central provinces.

This has not changed compared with 2015. The change is that Hubei's total economic output exceeds Hebei, becoming the seventh largest economic province, and Hebei slipped to eighth place.

In addition, the total economic volume in Fujian, Shanghai, Beijing and Anhui ranked tenth to thirteenth in 2016, respectively, up by 2015.

However, the total economic volume of Liaoning in the old industrial area of Northeast China is decreasing, which is four place lower than that in 2015, and now ranks fourteenth.

Henan's performance is very bright. In 2016, it entered the 4 trillion threshold for the first time in 2016. It became the new upstart of the "4 trillion club". It also held a steady seat of fifth as usual.

So confident, what does Henan depend on?

Zhang Shixian, a researcher at the Institute of industrial economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said: "mainly due to the improvement of pportation infrastructure in Henan in recent years, especially after the acceleration of the construction of the high-speed high-speed railway network, the original infrastructure advantages of the eastern provinces were also available in Henan.

In addition, the local government pays more attention to promoting industrial pformation and upgrading and the development of the real economy, vigorously stabilizing industrial growth, resolutely resolving the excess capacity of the coal and iron and steel industry, and making Henan's industrial structure more obvious and upgrading.

The development of heavy chemical industry is faster, and Henan has the advantage of human capital. Therefore, the overall quality of the economy has been improved. "

The rate of economic growth reflects the growth rate of a country or a region in a certain period of time, and it is also an important index to measure the overall economic growth rate of a country or region. Its importance is self-evident.

In 2017, the government work report pointed out that China's GDP grew by 6.7% in 2016.

According to statistics, the growth rate of GDP in 27 provinces in 31 provinces outperformed the whole country. In 2015, 24 provinces in the GDP growth rate outperformed the whole country.

This is certainly a pleasure.

However, there is a phenomenon worth paying attention to: the total GDP ranking is not in the front rank, but on the contrary, there are some backward ones. For example, the total amount of GDP in two provinces of Guangdong and Shandong ranks the top three, but from the GDP growth ranking, Guangdong ranked twentieth, Shandong ranked sixteenth, and the two GDP growth rate is not very high, 7.5% and 7.6% respectively, far less than the growth rate of the provinces in Guizhou and Tibet provinces.

Moreover, in the top ten of the GDP growth rate in 2016, the western performance was more colorful.

The top ten provinces in the GDP growth rate are Chongqing, Guizhou, Tibet, Jiangxi, Tianjin, Anhui, Yunnan, Fujian, Henan and Hubei.

Among them, there are 2 eastern provinces, 4 central provinces and 4 western provinces.

Obviously, the top three, the fastest growing 3 provinces, all come from the West.

Among them, the GDP growth rate of Chongqing was 10.7%, the top ranked; followed by Guizhou 10.05%, ranking second; Tibet's GDP growth rate was 10%, ranking third.

Not only the west, but also the central provinces.

For example, Jiangxi ranked 9%, ranking fourth; Anhui 8.7%, ranking sixth; Henan 8.1% ranked ninth; Hubei 8.1%, ranked tenth.

The reason why the central and western regions are eye-catching is to say that after the development of the western region and the strategy of the rise of the central region, the regional pattern of China has undergone active and significant changes.

This judgment was approved by Zhang Shixian. He said, "compared with the eastern part, the central and western regions have undertaken many industrial pfer in recent years, and have been supported by the state. These factors will promote the rapid economic development in the central and western regions, and the growth of the central and Western economies has been faster than the East for many years.

Correspondingly, the eastern provinces of China are developing more export-oriented economies, and the growth of the economy will inevitably be adjusted by the impact of the global economic downturn.

However, Yuan Gangming, a researcher at Tsinghua University's China and world economic research center, said that the growth rate of the western provinces was faster than that of the East, which came from the 2008 financial crisis.

"The financial crisis has made changes in the development of the eastern region in the past high level and high speed. It is difficult to maintain the high speed in the future. It can be said that the eastern region has encountered a serious problem of lower growth rate after the increase in income level, and has encountered the" middle income trap ".

The impact of the financial crisis on the western region is relatively weak, coupled with the support of national policies, the development rate is relatively fast.

In addition, statistics show that GDP growth is relatively backward in Liaoning.

Heilongjiang, Beijing and Shanghai.

In 2016, the actual growth rate of GDP in Liaoning was -2.5%, and the only negative growth Province in the country.

In 2015, Liaoning's GDP growth rate was 3%, a year's decline of 5.5%.

The growth rate of GDP in Liaoning is negative, which is mainly the result of the "false water" of the false economic data.

On January 17th, Chen Qiufa, governor of Liaoning, publicly stated that there was "water injection" in the economic data of Liaoning province from 2011 to 2014.

In the first three quarters of 2016, the economy of Liaoning showed the characteristics of bottom up stabilization. From the perspective of industrial electricity consumption, Liaoning's industrial electricity consumption began to stabilize and recover in August 2016 and September after two consecutive years of negative growth. Accordingly, many people predict that Liaoning's growth in 2016 will be positive.

However, the actual growth rate of Liaoning is unexpected.

As an important old industrial base in China, why has Liaoning's economic growth declined?

Yuan Gangming said that it should be a follow-up problem caused by massive investment by Liaoning in the past, resulting in overcapacity of investment.

"This growth in the state's investment in heavy industry has not been rewarded, so this growth is also unsustainable.

Liaoning needs to get rid of the growth mode relying on national financial investment. "

Per capita gross domestic product, or "per capita GDP", is often measured in development economics.

The index of the situation is an effective tool for people to understand and grasp the macroeconomic operation of a country or region.

Per capita GDP calculates the gross domestic product (GDP) of a country or region in the accounting period (usually one year) compared with the resident population in the country or region.

According to the data of the National Bureau of statistics, China's gross domestic product (GDP) was 744127 billion yuan in 2016, and the total population of China was 1 billion 382 million 710 thousand.

According to this calculation, China's per capita GDP reached 53817 yuan in 2016.

By statistics of per capita GDP in 31 provinces in 2016, the average per capita GDP of 12 provinces exceeded the national average.

In the top ten provinces, the East accounted for 8 seats.

Tianjin, Beijing and Shanghai ranked three in the top three, with GDP per capita exceeding 110 thousand yuan.

Among them, Tianjin's per capita GDP tops the list, reaching 115613 yuan.

Since 2006, Tianjin has been developing at full strength, and its economic strength is growing.

Especially in May 26, 2006, when the State Council promulgated the "opinions on issues related to the development and opening up of Tianjin Binhai New Area" and approved Tianjin as a national comprehensive reform pilot area, Tianjin's economy showed a trend of rapid growth. In 2008 and 2009, the GDP growth rate was 16.5%, ranking second in the whole country. After 2010, it replaced Inner Mongolia and led the whole country for 4 consecutive years.

Since 2014, the growth rate of GDP in Tianjin has begun to decline, which is 10%, second only to Chongqing, Tibet and Guizhou, ranking fourth in the country, 9.3% in 2015, and the second in Chongqing, Tibet and Guizhou, ranking fourth in the country.

The rapid growth of the economy is only one aspect. In Zhang Shixian's view, the high per capita GDP in Tianjin is due to the fact that Tianjin has a small population, a strong industrial foundation, plus the technological advantages gained from foreign joint ventures and cooperation, and the rapid development of Tianjin's port industry and heavy chemical industry in recent years, which has directly led to the improvement of per capita labour productivity in Tianjin.

Beijing ranks second in terms of GDP per capita of 114690 yuan, which is only 923 yuan less than Tianjin.

Shanghai also exceeded the 110 thousand yuan mark, reaching 113731 yuan.

In addition to Tianjin, Beijing and Shanghai, the three municipalities directly under the central government exceed 100 thousand yuan, and the GDP per capita in other provinces is below 100 thousand yuan.

After the three municipalities, who will be the next province to hit 100 thousand yuan?

Judging from the ranking, Jiangsu is the closest.

In 2016, Jiangsu's per capita GDP reached 95394 yuan, ranking fourth.

In no case, Jiangsu's per capita GDP will reach 100 thousand yuan in 2017.

In Zhang Shixian's view, Jiangsu's per capita GDP reached 100 thousand yuan was sooner or later.

"Jiangsu has been upgrading rapidly in recent years, and the upgrading of manufacturing services and upgrading of the service industry has been well integrated with each other, and so is Zhejiang's economic development.

It can be understood that most of the GDP per capita is concentrated in the East, which is a very natural phenomenon. "

Many people do not understand the relationship between per capita GDP and disposable income of residents.

In fact, per capita GDP is not equal to per capita disposable income of residents.

Because of the difference in industrial structure, some people with high GDP per capita do not have such a high income.

For example, Tianjin's per capita GDP ranks first, but the per capita disposable income of its residents is only 34074 yuan, and there is a gap of 10 thousand yuan with Shanghai and Beijing. Even Zhejiang, which has a small proportion of the agricultural population (38529 yuan per capita disposable income in 2016), has a distance of 4455 yuan, ranking only fourth of the country after Zhejiang.

Zhang Shixian analysis shows that the per capita GDP and per capita disposable income are not the same thing. There are differences between them: the disposable income per capita is the income after the depreciation of fixed assets and various taxes, and the GDP output value is mainly driven by investment. In addition, it is also influenced by consumption and export factors. Therefore, the calculated GDP per capita is not very large to some extent.

The per capita disposable income of the residents can accurately reflect the real income gap of the common people.

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