Future Brokerage Stocks Will Have A Very Important Impact On The Market Outlook.

In 2014, A shares showed a trend of low before and after high.

Taking the Shanghai Composite Index as an example, it has risen 52.87% throughout the year and has hit a new high for many years.

Judging from the trend of the single month, the market has been showing an accelerating trend since July 2014.

Among them, in July, September, November and December, there was an increase of more than 6% in a single month.

Especially in November and December, the market rose by 10.85% and 20.57% respectively.

Behind the continuous frenzy of the stock market, the smooth opening of the Shanghai and Hong Kong links will undoubtedly become the direct fuse of the current market.

However, in the Hong Kong stock market, Hong Kong stock market has not been overly active since Hong Kong and Shanghai have been opened to traffic.

All along, the two business has played a certain role in helping the market rise and fall. But since its launch, the role of the two financial support for the market has been relatively obvious for a long time.

However, since July of this year, with the continuous expansion of the two scale, its positive impact on the market has gradually emerged.

Among them, in July, the market two fusion business is also only 450 billion scale.

But so far, the scale of the two financial markets has reached a trillion mark and is approaching the level of 1 trillion and 100 billion.

It is worth mentioning that in the two financial business continues to be hot, P2P distribution business is also favored by investors because of its low entry threshold and flexible auditing mechanism.

In recent months, both the two financial businesses and the P2P matching business have shown an unprecedented growth trend.

At present, the market has experienced six months of accelerated growth, the index has reached the high point near the 3478 point.

This position, compared with the 2000 point in the middle of last year, has increased by 70%.

During the period, securities, insurance and other weight stocks have also hit a new high, the largest cumulative increase has doubled.

At the same time, as a long-term market not optimistic about the capital of the petrochemical double hero also showed a trend of bottom reversal.

Take China Petroleum as an example. In July of last year, the stock price was still around the level of 7 yuan, and today's stock price is close to 13 yuan, the cumulative increase is nearly doubled.

So how much imagination does the Chinese stock market have after the soaring market?

In this regard, I believe that in view of the future market, investors are still concerned about the latest trend of several major indicators.

First,

Changes in the balance of paction settlement funds.

Generally speaking, the changes in the balance of the paction settlement funds in the securities market can be used to determine the activity of the current market funds to some extent.

Over the past few months, the activity of China's securities market paction settlement fund has increased significantly, and its scale has also increased in scale.

But in December of last year, with the beginning of certain differences between the two sides, the funds reflected in the data also changed.

In December last year, for example, there was a steady increase in the market size of funds before December 20th.

However, after December 20th, the market showed a trend of net out.

However, it is fortunate that after 1 to 2 weeks of net turning out, the market entered a new turn in 2015.

Among them, during the period from January 5th to January 9th this year, the market has achieved a certain net turn in trend.

In this regard, in the subsequent market trend, it also has a positive impact.

Second, the two fusion

The change of growth rate.

It can be said that the current bull market is based on high leverage.

Among them, the continuous expansion of the two scale of the market has also played a significant role in boosting the market.

However, in the recent 1-2 weeks, the market's two financial growth rate has changed a lot, and there have been some signs of decline during the period.

However, the two scale of the market remains above the trillion level.

Recently, with the moderate recovery of the index, it has also promoted the further growth of the two scale growth of the market.

However, it should be noted that when the market's two scale growth rate has obvious inflection point, I am afraid it indicates that the market is about to face a phased adjustment.

Third, follow the trend of the hot weight plate based on the brokerage board.

In the current round of rising prices, the brokerage sector will undoubtedly become the first force to drive the market up.

Subsequently, in the banking, insurance and subsequent oil, real estate, coal and other weight plates to promote joint efforts, and ultimately prompted the market to reach 3400 points at one touch.

In China's stock market, such proverbs are often circulated.

Obviously, the financial sector dominated by securities is undoubtedly the leading variety in the current round of rising prices.

For the time being,

The market has entered the pattern of high and low volatility ahead of schedule, while banks and insurance sectors still have the potential of continuous innovation, which brings certain upsurge to the market.

Therefore, whether the future securities brokers can break the current stalemate, and whether banks and insurance sector will continue to be strong will have a very important impact on the subsequent trend of the market.

The author believes that China's stock market has experienced a bull market for 7 years, and has seen a glimmer of dawn. However, the short-term surge is not conducive to the healthy development of the stock market. The middle and long term bull market can better reflect the management's attitude to protect the stock market.