Internet Transmission "Song Of The Four Seasons" In The End Ineffective.

"Stir fry the coal in summer and stir fry in summer". inflation In order to preserve value, we will buy land, war gold and military industry, and interest rate banks will benefit most. Sought after The upstream and downstream factories are searching for traces, and the annual reports are carefully analyzed. equity market We can lift the gas and not give up the national line. "

Recently, a "four seasons song of stock market" has been circulated on the Internet. In the form of doggerel, the law of the rotation of different parts of the A share market is illustrated. It seems very reasonable to see that the actual effect is {page_break}?

　 　 Plate effect Same rise or fall

Friends who regularly share stocks know that there is a certain "plate effect" in the A share market. Generally speaking, the stock with the same factors can be called a plate, which includes main business, operating area or shareholding shareholders. For example, Hainan airlines and Southern Airlines all belong to the "aviation sector". The stock in the same plate has an organic connection because of the same characteristics or the same theme, and it should rise or rise in the market operation, so it should be called the "plate effect". Generally speaking, the start of the plate effect will be accompanied by certain emergencies, such as RMB appreciation, government meetings, sudden disasters and so on. And the above "four seasons song" is about what kind of plate the shareholders should choose when the event happens.

　　 Simulation operation Remarkable effect

It can be seen that the corresponding events will produce positive effects on the relevant plates, so the "four seasons song" is not groundless. What is the result of the practice?

We use market software to analyze the data from 3 years from 2009 to 2011, and assume that the corresponding plates are bought at the beginning of the month at the end of the month, and the simulation shows that buying the corresponding sections in the corresponding event that month, and then selling at the end of the month, can really get a larger transaction success rate. Basically, in addition to the construction machinery plate, the success rate of the remaining plates is over 6-7. Among them, the highest success rate is the coal oil plate and the winter weather, as well as the relationship between the coal and oil sector and the NDRC raising oil prices. The next is the relationship between the Spring Festival and the Mid Autumn Festival. The 6 months of the Spring Festival / Mid Autumn Festival in the past 3 years were 5 months, but the highest monthly increase was only 10.18%. The most unreliable is the engineering construction sector, which fell during the two months of the Qinghai earthquake and the Japanese earthquake, and investors had little hope of buying profits.